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4 readings

What If

One hypothetical with a named, checkable premise, followed through the arithmetic to the step where the sums stop and the guessing starts; never medical, financial or legal advice.

Watercolor of Mammoth Hot Springs by Thomas Moran, 1872: pale terraces with dripping edges above a wide blue pool, signed and dated at lower left

What If

What If a Yellowstone Eruption Repeated? USGS: Not ‘Overdue’

USGS figures put Yellowstone's largest eruption at 585 cubic miles of magma, an even 30 cm over 48 states on paper. Three blasts give two gaps, not a due date.

Image credit

"Mammoth Hot Springs, Yellowstone" by Thomas Moran — https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Mammoth_Hot_Springs,_Yellowstone_SAAM-1958.5.2_1.jpg — Public domain in the US (published before 1931, as the file page states) and in the EU (author died 1926, life+70); modified: cropped to 16:9 from the 1,425 x 2,000 original, crop box (0, 1199, 1425, 2000) in pixels: the lower terraces and pool with the signature and date kept; the upper sheet with the peak and steam removed

Woodburytype of the Moon from the book plate, a large bright disk with craters and dark plains, Lewis M. Rutherfurd negative of 1865
Image credit

"Maan. Photograph of the Moon" by Lewis M. Rutherfurd — https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Maan_Photograph_of_the_Moon_(titel_op_object),_RP-F-2001-7-1093-2.jpg — Public domain in the US (published before 1931) and in the EU (author died 1892, life+70); modified: cropped from a photograph of the open book to the plate and its printed caption, film grain removed with a 3 px median, card view cropped to 16:9

Chromolithograph of an aurora by É. L. Trouvelot: pale rays fanning up from a dark arc over a black treeline under a starry sky, observed 1872
Image credit

"Aurora Borealis (Plate IV, The Trouvelot Astronomical Drawings)" by É. L. Trouvelot — https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Trouvelot_-_Aurora_Borealis_-_1872.jpg — Public domain in the US (published 1881) and in the EU (author died 1895, life+70); modified: cropped to 16:9, keeping the rays and the treeline; plate margins and printed title and date line removed

Engraving of the Rock of Gibraltar from Las glorias nacionales, 1853: a steep rock, a town at its foot, a sailing boat and a ship at sea
Image credit

"Gibraltar engraving" by unknown creator — https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Gibraltar_engraving_1852.jpg — Public domain in the US (published 1853) and in the EU (anonymous engraver, published 1853, 70 years passed); modified: scan speckle removed with a 3 px median, card view cropped to 16:9